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About Me

Bill Tancer is the general manager of global research at Hitwise, the world’s leading online competitive intelligence services. Tancer and his team of analysts are widely quoted throughout the industry on the latest Internet trends. He appears as a frequent guest on CNBC, has been quoted in The Wall Street Journal, The New York Times, the Washington Post and USAToday on topics ranging from the state of e-commerce to predicting American Idol winners using search term research. Tancer also writes a weekly column for Time magazine (Time.com) entitled "The Science of Search.".

About Hitwise

Hitwise is the leading online competitive intelligence service. Only Hitwise provides its 1,400 clients around the world with daily insights on how their customers interact with a broad range of competitive websites, and how their competitors use different tactics to attract online customers.

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Archive for November, 2008

Dancing with the Stars - Right Again!

Wednesday, November 26th, 2008

Mark us down for another reality television show prediction. Yesterday we posted that Brooke Burke (despite a significant Stacy Keibler Correction Coefficient) would win dancing with the stars.  As many of you noticed however, I accidently left Lance Bass off of the final chart.  Here’s a corrected chart:

Dancing with the Stars - Season 7

Tuesday, November 25th, 2008

I’ve had a number of requests to apply the arbitrage/prediction model we discussed in Click for the season finale of Dancing with the Stars this evening.   First a chart of searches on the remaining contestants:

Television host/personality Brooke Burke has maintained a consistant lead in searches over the course of the season, but lets not [...]

Lipstick and the Narrative Fallacy

Tuesday, November 25th, 2008

One of my favorite recent books is Nassim Taleb’s Black Swan.  While reading the book last year, I was struck by a point that Nasssim made regarding the narrative fallacy, or our inclination as analysts to only look at data in the light of our chosen hypothesis (highlighting data that makes our point and ignoring [...]